ABS, a terpolymer of Acrylonitrile, Butadiene and
Styrene is suffering from a very low capacity utilization and weaker
demand, particularly in North America, Europe and Japan. The global
demand in 2001 is closer to 4 million tonnes compared to the nameplate
capacity of about 6.3 million tonnes. China, having almost 1.5 million
tonnes demand in 2001, is however expected to provide some relief.
This, due to the expected demand growth of about 8-10% for the next
5 years in the country. Some of the other Asian countries like India
are also likely to have good growth potentials. However, the developed
economies like that of North America, Europe and Japan may grow
very meagerly. In fact, the demand in these regions have been going
down since the last 5 years as many of the consumer durable industries
have relocated their ABS processing in China on account of cost
benefits.
The typical consumption pattern of ABS is distributed as:
Application Segment |
(%) |
Appliances |
35 |
Consumer Electronics |
15 |
Transportation |
15 |
Pipe |
5 |
Others |
30 |
Total |
100 (4 million tonnes) |
The capacity of 6.3 million tonnes is tilted towards Asia and is
expected to increase by almost 1 million tonnes in the next few
years. This excess capacity is expected to continue almost at the
same level for the next few years.
The regional distribution of capacity is:
Region |
Million Tonnes |
(%) |
Asia |
4 |
63 |
North America |
1.2 |
20 |
Europe |
1 |
16 |
Rest of the World |
0.1 |
1 |
Total |
6.3 |
100 |
Chi Mei, the largest producer with 1.2-1.3 million tonnes has almost
20% share of the capacity. The other 4 major players have almost
2.5 million tonnes capacity. They are:
Company |
Million Tonnes |
GE Plastics |
1 |
Bayer |
0.8 |
BASF |
0.4 |
DOW |
0.35 |
These 5 major producers have almost a 55-60% share of the global
capacity.
The increasing demand in China and the other Asian regions will
make ABS business more focused towards Asia. It is hence not surprising
that more investments are being made in this region.
|